Moldova · Liga 1 · Relegation Group - 613:00

3 – 4

Saturday, 18 April 2026

· Analysis updated 07:51 UTC

Olimp Comrat vs Victoria Bardar Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Olimp Comrat vs Victoria Bardar in the Liga 1: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Victoria Bardar away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Olimp Comrat to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Olimp Comrat and 1.18 for Victoria Bardar, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Olimp Comrat win44%
Draw26%
Victoria Bardar win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Olimp Comrat

    Victoria Bardar

    • 2026-09-01T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Făleşti · 5-3 (W)
    • 2026-08-28T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC National Ialoveni · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Stăuceni · 3-2 (W)
    • 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Făleşti · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-31T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Oguzsport · 0-1 (L)

    Head-to-head

    • 2026-04-18T13:00:00.000Z · Olimp Comrat 3-4 Victoria Bardar (Liga 1)
    • 2024-11-01T11:00:00.000Z · Olimp Comrat 2-2 Victoria Bardar (Liga 1)
    • 2024-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · Olimp Comrat 0-4 Victoria Bardar (Liga 1)
    • 2024-08-10T15:00:00.000Z · Olimp Comrat 0-4 Victoria Bardar (Liga 1)
    • 2022-04-08T13:00:00.000Z · Olimp Comrat 1-2 Victoria Bardar (Liga 1)
    • 2021-09-10T14:00:00.000Z · Olimp Comrat 2-3 Victoria Bardar (Liga 1)
    • 2021-04-25T13:00:00.000Z · Olimp Comrat 4-1 Victoria Bardar (Liga 1)
    • 2020-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · Olimp Comrat 4-1 Victoria Bardar (Liga 1)
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Vulturii Cutezători86111319
    1Oguzsport7421514
    2Iskra86021418
    2FC Stăuceni6312310
    3FCM Ungheni8422714
    3FC National Ialoveni6213-17
    4Univer Comrat823309
    4Făleşti6213-27
    5Zimbru II8215-67
    5Victoria Bardar7214-57
    6Spartanii Selemet8017-281

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.