Raatin stadion · Analysis updated 01:48 UTC
OLS vs TPV Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for OLS and 1.24 for TPV, a combined total of 3.59. That distribution gives OLS the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws roughly 38% of the time.
Model pick
OLS to Win
62.1% probability
Expected goals
2.35 – 1.24
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.5%
- 1–18.0%
- 2–07.6%
- 3–17.4%
- 1–06.5%
Why the model likes this
OLS home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates OLS to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 19% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.35 goals for OLS and 1.24 for TPV, a combined 3.59 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 64%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
OLS
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rops · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-09T15:30:00.000Z · A vs FC jazz · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs TPV · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs KPV-j · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs PKKU · 1-1 (D)
TPV
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkönen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampere United | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 41 |
| 2 | Rops | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 37 |
| 3 | OLS | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | PKKU | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 30 |
| 5 | SalPa | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 30 |
| 6 | VJS | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | FC jazz | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | JJK | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | TPV | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 10 | Inter Turku II | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -15 | 20 |
| 11 | KPV-j | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -40 | 12 |
| 12 | KuPS Akatemia | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -14 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.