Pécsi MFC vs Dunaujvaros FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.15 expected goals for Pécsi MFC and 0.80 for Dunaujvaros FC, a combined total of 3.95. That distribution gives Pécsi MFC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 83%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 83% favourite still loses or draws roughly 17% of the time.

Model pick

Pécsi MFC to Win

82.9% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

3.15 – 0.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Pécsi MFC win83%

Draw11%

Dunaujvaros FC win6%

Double chance 1X

94%

Double chance 12

89%

Double chance X2

17%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals75%

Over 3.5 goals55%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

3–010.0%
2–09.5%
3–18.0%
4–07.9%
2–17.6%

Why the model likes this

Pécsi MFC home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pécsi MFC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 83%, against 83% / 11% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.15 goals for Pécsi MFC and 0.80 for Dunaujvaros FC, a combined 3.95 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 52%, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Pécsi MFC

2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Ferencváros II · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-12T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Sárbogárd · 6-0 (W)
2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Majosi · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunaharaszti MTK · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Fehérvár FC · 1-0 (W)

Dunaujvaros FC

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

NB III - Southwest table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pécsi MFC	4	4	0	0	13	12
2	Kaposvar	3	3	0	0	11	9
3	PTE-PEAC	4	3	0	1	1	9
4	Ferencváros II	4	2	1	1	2	7
5	Budafoki LC	4	2	1	1	1	7
6	Budaörs	4	2	1	1	-4	7
7	MTK Budapest II	4	2	0	2	8	6
8	Iváncsa	3	2	0	1	4	6
9	Érdi VSE	3	1	2	0	2	5
10	Siofok	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Dunaharaszti MTK	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Paksi SE II	4	0	2	2	-4	2
13	Majosi	3	0	1	2	-3	1
14	Dunaujvaros FC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Sárbogárd	3	0	0	3	-8	0
16	Szekszárd	4	0	0	4	-16	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.