Rīgas FS vs Glentoran Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Rīgas FS and 1.18 for Glentoran, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Rīgas FS the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Rīgas FS or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Rīgas FS win44%

Draw26%

Glentoran win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Rīgas FS home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Glentoran away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rīgas FS to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Rīgas FS and 1.18 for Glentoran, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Rīgas FS

2026-08-13T16:30:00.000Z · H vs FK Jablonec · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-10T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Grobiņa · 6-1 (W)
2026-08-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Jablonec · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Vestri · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Tukums · 1-0 (W)

Glentoran

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Linfield · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Limavady United · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-16T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Rīgas FS · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-09T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Rīgas FS · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Dundela · 3-3 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-07-16T16:30:00.000Z · Rīgas FS 2-0 Glentoran (UEFA Europa Conference League)
2026-07-09T18:30:00.000Z · Rīgas FS 2-1 Glentoran (UEFA Europa Conference League)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.