· Analysis updated 23:46 UTC
Schwaz vs FC Augsburg Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Schwaz and 1.25 for FC Augsburg, a combined total of 5.75. That distribution gives Schwaz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 88%, with the draw at 7%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 88% favourite still loses or draws roughly 12% of the time.
Model pick
Schwaz to Win
87.7% probability
Expected goals
4.50 – 1.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
95%
Double chance 12
93%
Double chance X2
12%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–16.8%
- 5–16.1%
- 3–16.0%
- 4–05.4%
- 5–04.9%
Why the model likes this
FC Augsburg away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Schwaz to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 88%, against 88% / 7% / 5% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.50 goals for Schwaz and 1.25 for FC Augsburg, a combined 5.75 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 89% and both teams to score at 68%, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Recent form
Schwaz
FC Augsburg
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Leeds · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-08T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Sassuolo · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-05T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Schwaz · 15-0 (W)
- 2026-07-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bournemouth · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Saarbrücken · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.