Macedonia · Second League · Regular Season - 3014:30
SkopjeLDL

51

Saturday, 23 May 2026

· Analysis updated 05:41 UTC

Skopje vs Detonit Plachkovica Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Skopje and 0.83 for Detonit Plachkovica, a combined total of 2.68. That distribution gives Skopje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws roughly 38% of the time.

Model pick

Skopje to Win

61.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.85 – 0.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Skopje win62%
Draw22%
Detonit Plachkovica win16%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score47%

Correct score

  • 1–012.7%
  • 2–011.8%
  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 3–07.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Skopje home form

    10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Detonit Plachkovica away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Skopje to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 22% / 16% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.85 goals for Skopje and 0.83 for Detonit Plachkovica, a combined 2.68 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Skopje

  • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sileks · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Struga · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkendija · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aresimi · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-31T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Akademija Pandev · 1-0 (W)

Detonit Plachkovica

  • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkupi 1927 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Kozuv Gevgelija · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Belasica · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Skopje · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Ohrid · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.