Macedonia · Second League · Regular Season - 3014:30
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Saturday, 23 May 2026

· Analysis updated 05:39 UTC

Skopje vs Detonit Plachkovica Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Skopje and 0.83 for Detonit Plachkovica, a combined total of 2.68. That distribution gives Skopje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws roughly 38% of the time.

Model pick

Skopje to Win

61.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.85 – 0.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Skopje win62%
Draw22%
Detonit Plachkovica win16%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score47%

Correct score

  • 1–012.7%
  • 2–011.8%
  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 3–07.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Skopje home form

    10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Detonit Plachkovica away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Skopje to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 22% / 16% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.85 goals for Skopje and 0.83 for Detonit Plachkovica, a combined 2.68 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Skopje

  • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sileks · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Struga · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkendija · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aresimi · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-31T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Akademija Pandev · 1-0 (W)

Detonit Plachkovica

  • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkupi 1927 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Kozuv Gevgelija · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Belasica · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Skopje · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Ohrid · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bregalnica Štip3022535571
2Skopje3023255371
3Shkëndija Haraçinë3021634869
4Ohrid3021546168
5Belasica3018483658
6Osogovo3016682654
7Novaci3015691651
8Detonit Plachkovica3014792449
9Kozuv Gevgelija3012992445
10Teteks30133141242
11Sasa309912-636
12Vardar Negotino306420-5822
13Sloga Vinica304323-5315
14FK Prespa Resen305025-4615
15Pobeda303225-9811
16Golemo Konjari302127-947

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.