· Analysis updated 05:39 UTC
Skopje vs Detonit Plachkovica Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Skopje and 0.83 for Detonit Plachkovica, a combined total of 2.68. That distribution gives Skopje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws roughly 38% of the time.
Model pick
Skopje to Win
61.6% probability
Expected goals
1.85 – 0.83
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.7%
- 2–011.8%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 3–07.3%
Why the model likes this
Skopje home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Detonit Plachkovica away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Skopje to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 22% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.85 goals for Skopje and 0.83 for Detonit Plachkovica, a combined 2.68 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Skopje
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sileks · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Struga · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkendija · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-07-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aresimi · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-31T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Akademija Pandev · 1-0 (W)
Detonit Plachkovica
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkupi 1927 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Kozuv Gevgelija · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Belasica · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-23T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Skopje · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-05-16T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Ohrid · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bregalnica Štip | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 55 | 71 |
| 2 | Skopje | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 53 | 71 |
| 3 | Shkëndija Haraçinë | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | Ohrid | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 61 | 68 |
| 5 | Belasica | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 58 |
| 6 | Osogovo | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 54 |
| 7 | Novaci | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 51 |
| 8 | Detonit Plachkovica | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 49 |
| 9 | Kozuv Gevgelija | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 45 |
| 10 | Teteks | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 42 |
| 11 | Sasa | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Vardar Negotino | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -58 | 22 |
| 13 | Sloga Vinica | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | -53 | 15 |
| 14 | FK Prespa Resen | 30 | 5 | 0 | 25 | -46 | 15 |
| 15 | Pobeda | 30 | 3 | 2 | 25 | -98 | 11 |
| 16 | Golemo Konjari | 30 | 2 | 1 | 27 | -94 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.