· Analysis updated 00:43 UTC
Täfteå vs Lucksta Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.18 expected goals for Täfteå and 1.35 for Lucksta, a combined total of 4.53. That distribution gives Täfteå the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws roughly 27% of the time.
Model pick
Täfteå to Win
73.3% probability
Expected goals
3.18 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
27%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.8%
- 2–17.4%
- 4–16.2%
- 3–05.8%
- 2–05.5%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Täfteå to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 73% / 14% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.18 goals for Täfteå and 1.35 for Lucksta, a combined 4.53 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 82% and both teams to score at 71%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Model confidence
Täfteå to Win is the headline pick at 73% with high confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Täfteå
Lucksta
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division 2 - Norrland table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skellefteå | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 27 |
| 2 | Täfteå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | IFK Luleå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 25 |
| 4 | Boden | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Umeå FC Akademi | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 11 |
| 6 | Storfors | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 7 | IFK Umeå | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -28 | 4 |
| 1 | Kubikenborg | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Gottne | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | Lucksta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| 4 | IFK Östersund | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Friska Viljor | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Umea FF | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | Fransta | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.