· Analysis updated 01:47 UTC
Täfteå vs Lucksta Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.18 expected goals for Täfteå and 1.35 for Lucksta, a combined total of 4.53. That distribution gives Täfteå the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws roughly 27% of the time.
Model pick
Täfteå to Win
73.3% probability
Expected goals
3.18 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
27%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.8%
- 2–17.4%
- 4–16.2%
- 3–05.8%
- 2–05.5%
Why the model likes this
Täfteå home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Lucksta away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 6 meetings.
Recent form
Täfteå
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kubikenborg · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Skellefteå · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Boden · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Gottne · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå FC · 0-1 (L)
Lucksta
- 2026-08-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kubikenborg · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Skellefteå · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-01T14:15:00.000Z · H vs Boden · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-06-28T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Gottne · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-06-14T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Umea FF · 1-5 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2025-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · Täfteå 4-2 Lucksta (Division 2 - Norrland)
- 2025-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · Täfteå 3-1 Lucksta (Division 2 - Norrland)
- 2025-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · Täfteå 1-5 Lucksta (Division 2 - Norrland)
- 2025-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · Täfteå 0-0 Lucksta (Division 2 - Norrland)
- 2024-09-21T12:00:00.000Z · Täfteå 3-1 Lucksta (Division 2 - Norrland)
- 2024-04-20T12:00:00.000Z · Täfteå 1-3 Lucksta (Division 2 - Norrland)
Division 2 - Norrland table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skellefteå | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 27 |
| 2 | Täfteå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | IFK Luleå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 25 |
| 4 | Boden | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Umeå FC Akademi | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 11 |
| 6 | Storfors | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 7 | IFK Umeå | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -28 | 4 |
| 1 | Kubikenborg | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Gottne | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | Lucksta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| 4 | IFK Östersund | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Friska Viljor | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Umea FF | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | Fransta | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.