· Analysis updated 03:48 UTC
Thisted FC vs Nykobing FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.31 expected goals for Thisted FC and 2.44 for Nykobing FC, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Nykobing FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws roughly 38% of the time.
Model pick
Nykobing FC to Win
62.4% probability
Expected goals
1.31 – 2.44
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
38%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
81%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.2%
- 1–17.5%
- 1–37.5%
- 0–27.0%
- 2–26.0%
Why the model likes this
Thisted FC home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Nykobing FC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nykobing FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 19% / 19% / 62% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.31 goals for Thisted FC and 2.44 for Nykobing FC, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Thisted FC
- 2026-08-15T11:30:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FA 2000 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-04T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Aabybro · 9-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Middelfart · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-07-25T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Brabrand · 2-1 (W)
Nykobing FC
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Skive · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Fremad Amager · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-18T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VSK Århus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Middelfart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 3 | Nykobing FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Roskilde | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Naestved | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Fremad Amager | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | HIK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Skive | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | FA 2000 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | B 93 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | Thisted FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 12 | Brabrand | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.