· Analysis updated 02:49 UTC
Traiskirchen vs Fach-Donaufeld Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.13 expected goals for Traiskirchen and 1.61 for Fach-Donaufeld, a combined total of 3.74. That distribution gives Traiskirchen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.
Model pick
Traiskirchen to Win
49.7% probability
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.61
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.7%
- 1–18.2%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–26.6%
- 3–16.1%
Why the model likes this
Traiskirchen home form
3 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 9 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Traiskirchen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 21% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.13 goals for Traiskirchen and 1.61 for Fach-Donaufeld, a combined 3.74 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Traiskirchen
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Wienerberg · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-08-07T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Fach-Donaufeld · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Scheiblingkirchen · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-07-24T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Bleiburg · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-07-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Leithaprodersdorf · 2-0 (W)
Fach-Donaufeld
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-07T17:30:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 0-1 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2026-04-17T17:00:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 3-2 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2025-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 1-4 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2025-05-02T17:30:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 1-3 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2024-10-05T13:30:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 1-1 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2024-05-18T13:30:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 2-2 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2023-10-20T16:30:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 1-3 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2023-04-08T14:00:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 0-1 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2022-09-16T16:30:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 2-2 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
Regionalliga - Ost table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wiener SC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Scheiblingkirchen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 |
| 4 | Oberwart | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Gloggnitz | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Fach-Donaufeld | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Parndorf | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Leobendorf | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | SV Horn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Traiskirchen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Wiener Viktoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Favoritner AC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Krems / Rehberg | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Donau | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
| 15 | Mattersburg SV 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 | Wienerberg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.