· Analysis updated 15:00 UTC
Traiskirchen vs Fach-Donaufeld Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Traiskirchen and 2.50 for Fach-Donaufeld, a combined total of 4.50. That distribution gives Fach-Donaufeld the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Fach-Donaufeld win
49.5% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 2.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Traiskirchen home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Fach-Donaufeld away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–26.9%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–35.8%
- 2–35.8%
- 1–15.6%
Recent form
Traiskirchen
- 2026-10-23T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Mattersburg SV 2020 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-16T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Favoritner AC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Oberwart · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloggnitz · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Horn · 4-3 (W)
Fach-Donaufeld
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Wienerberg · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloggnitz · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Scheiblingkirchen · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiener Viktoria · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-04T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Wiener SC · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-07T17:30:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 0-1 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2026-04-17T17:00:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 3-2 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2025-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 1-4 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2025-05-02T17:30:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 1-3 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2024-10-05T13:30:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 1-1 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2024-05-18T13:30:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 2-2 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2023-10-20T16:30:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 1-3 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2023-04-08T14:00:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 0-1 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2022-09-16T16:30:00.000Z · Traiskirchen 2-2 Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga - Ost)
Regionalliga - Ost table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 28 |
| 2 | Wiener SC | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 26 |
| 3 | Oberwart | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Traiskirchen | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Krems / Rehberg | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Wiener Viktoria | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Fach-Donaufeld | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Scheiblingkirchen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 19 |
| 9 | Parndorf | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | Leobendorf | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Mattersburg SV 2020 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Donau | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 13 | Gloggnitz | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Favoritner AC | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 13 |
| 15 | SV Horn | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Wienerberg | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -40 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Fach-Donaufeld win, at 49.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.