Lithuania · 1 Lyga · Regular Season - 1815:00

01

Monday, 3 August 2026

BabrungasWLWWW

· Analysis updated 06:09 UTC

Transinvest 2 vs Babrungas Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.45 expected goals for Transinvest 2 and 2.39 for Babrungas, a combined total of 2.84. That distribution gives Babrungas the largest share of the 1X2 market at 81%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 81% favourite still loses or draws roughly 19% of the time.

Model pick

Babrungas to Win

80.7% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.45 – 2.39

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Transinvest 2 win5%
Draw14%
Babrungas win81%

Double chance 1X

19%

Double chance 12

86%

Double chance X2

95%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score33%

Correct score

  • 0–216.7%
  • 0–114.0%
  • 0–313.3%
  • 0–48.0%
  • 1–27.5%

Why the model likes this

  • Transinvest 2 home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Babrungas to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 81%, against 5% / 14% / 81% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.45 goals for Transinvest 2 and 2.39 for Babrungas, a combined 2.84 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 33%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.

Recent form

Transinvest 2

  • 2026-08-14T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Atmosfera · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BFA · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Babrungas · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dainava · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Neptūną Klaipėda · 2-2 (D)

Babrungas

    Head-to-head

    • 2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · Transinvest 2 0-1 Babrungas (1 Lyga)
    • 2026-03-18T15:00:00.000Z · Transinvest 2 0-3 Babrungas (1 Lyga)
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Minija2017124252
    2Babrungas2016313051
    3Tauras2012261438
    4Neptūną Klaipėda201226338
    5Dainava1910541435
    6Be1 NFA191126735
    7BFA201028032
    8Žalgiris II20947331
    9Atmosfera19748525
    10Jonava20659-223
    11Garliava19649322
    12Transinvest 2205312-2618
    13Hegelmann II205114-2416
    14Kauno Žalgiris II204115-1913
    15Ekranas203215-2311
    16FA Šiauliai II202513-2711

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.