· Analysis updated 05:17 UTC
Transinvest 2 vs Babrungas Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.45 expected goals for Transinvest 2 and 2.39 for Babrungas, a combined total of 2.84. That distribution gives Babrungas the largest share of the 1X2 market at 81%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 81% favourite still loses or draws roughly 19% of the time.
Model pick
Babrungas to Win
80.7% probability
Expected goals
0.45 – 2.39
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
19%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
95%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–216.7%
- 0–114.0%
- 0–313.3%
- 0–48.0%
- 1–27.5%
Why the model likes this
Transinvest 2 home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Babrungas to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 81%, against 5% / 14% / 81% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.45 goals for Transinvest 2 and 2.39 for Babrungas, a combined 2.84 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 33%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.
Recent form
Transinvest 2
- 2026-08-14T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Atmosfera · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BFA · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Babrungas · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dainava · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Neptūną Klaipėda · 2-2 (D)
Babrungas
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · Transinvest 2 0-1 Babrungas (1 Lyga)
- 2026-03-18T15:00:00.000Z · Transinvest 2 0-3 Babrungas (1 Lyga)
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 52 |
| 2 | Babrungas | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 51 |
| 3 | Tauras | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 38 |
| 5 | Dainava | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 35 |
| 6 | Be1 NFA | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 35 |
| 7 | BFA | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 32 |
| 8 | Žalgiris II | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 31 |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Jonava | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 23 |
| 11 | Garliava | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 22 |
| 12 | Transinvest 2 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -26 | 18 |
| 13 | Hegelmann II | 20 | 5 | 1 | 14 | -24 | 16 |
| 14 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | -19 | 13 |
| 15 | Ekranas | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | -23 | 11 |
| 16 | FA Šiauliai II | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -27 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.