· Analysis updated 05:32 UTC
Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.94 expected goals for Uxbridge and 0.96 for Basingstoke Town, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Uxbridge the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws roughly 40% of the time.
Model pick
Uxbridge to Win
60.2% probability
Expected goals
1.94 – 0.96
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–010.7%
- 2–010.4%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–06.7%
Why the model likes this
Basingstoke Town away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Uxbridge to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 22% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.94 goals for Uxbridge and 0.96 for Basingstoke Town, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Recent form
Uxbridge
Basingstoke Town
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Poole Town · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Hanwell Town · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Evesham United · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-07-21T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Chesham United · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-07-14T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Slough Town · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Non League Premier - Southern South table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bath City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Frome Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Taunton Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Hanworth Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Evesham United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Hanwell Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Plymouth Parkway | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Sholing | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Chippenham Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Bracknell Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Basingstoke Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Berkhamsted | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Poole Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Chichester City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Havant & Wville | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 | Malvern Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Gloucester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 21 | Gosport Borough | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 22 | Wimborne Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.