Austria · Bundesliga · Regular Season - 615:00

15:00 UTC

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Lavanttal-Arena · Analysis updated 02:43 UTC

Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Vienna Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Wolfsberger AC and 1.12 for Rapid Vienna, a combined total of 2.42. That distribution gives Wolfsberger AC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

Wolfsberger AC or Draw

68.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.12

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Wolfsberger AC win41%
Draw27%
Rapid Vienna win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams to score49%

Correct score

  • 1–113.0%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 2–18.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Wolfsberger AC home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Rapid Vienna away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wolfsberger AC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 27% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.30 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 1.12 for Rapid Vienna, a combined 2.42 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Wolfsberger AC

  • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Lustenau · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Red Bull Salzburg · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Austria Vienna · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-24T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lauterach · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Velden · 4-0 (W)

Rapid Vienna

  • 2026-08-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Paide · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ried · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Paide · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SCR Altach · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-29T18:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Santa Coloma · 6-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Bundesliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lask Linz330089
2Sturm Graz321037
3Rapid Vienna220026
4Wolfsberger AC311124
5Red Bull Salzburg211014
6Austria Lustenau311104
7SCR Altach310203
8Grazer AK2101-23
9WSG Wattens2011-21
10Ried3012-41
11TSV Hartberg2002-30
12Austria Vienna2002-50

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.