Yambol 1915 vs Spartak Plovdiv Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for Yambol 1915 and 1.77 for Spartak Plovdiv, a combined total of 3.92. That distribution gives Yambol 1915 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

Yambol 1915 to Win

46.9% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.15 – 1.77

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Yambol 1915 win47%

Draw21%

Spartak Plovdiv win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals75%

Over 3.5 goals55%

Both teams to score73%

Correct score

2–18.1%
1–17.5%
2–27.2%
1–26.7%
3–15.8%

Why the model likes this

Yambol 1915 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Spartak Plovdiv away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Yambol 1915 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 21% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.15 goals for Yambol 1915 and 1.77 for Spartak Plovdiv, a combined 3.92 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Yambol 1915

2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Maritsa Plovdiv · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Rozova dolina · 1-1 (D)
2026-05-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Plovdiv · 4-2 (W)
2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Rakovski 2011 · 5-2 (W)
2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Maritsa Plovdiv · 1-1 (D)

Spartak Plovdiv

2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sozopol · 4-3 (W)
2026-05-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Yambol 1915 · 2-4 (L)
2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Maritsa Plovdiv · 3-1 (W)
2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nesebar · 1-6 (L)
2026-05-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rozova dolina · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Third League - Southeast table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rodopa Smolyan	2	2	0	0	5	6
2	Spartak Plovdiv	2	2	0	0	4	6
3	Levski Krumovgrad	2	2	0	0	2	6
4	Maritsa Milevo	2	2	0	0	2	6
5	Yambol 1915	2	1	1	0	3	4
6	Sayana Haskovo	2	1	1	0	2	4
7	Botev Plovdiv II	1	1	0	0	2	3
8	Atletik Kuklen	2	1	0	1	1	3
9	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Rozova dolina	2	0	2	0	0	2
11	Neftochimic Burgas	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Sekirovo Rakovski	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Zagorets	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Maritsa Plovdiv	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Dimitrovgrad	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Gigant Saedinenie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Sozopol	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Levski Karlovo	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.