Al Nejmeh vs Jwaaya FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Al Nejmeh and 1.18 for Jwaaya FC, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Al Nejmeh the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Al Nejmeh or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Al Nejmeh win44%

Draw26%

Jwaaya FC win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Jwaaya FC away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 6 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Nejmeh to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Al Nejmeh and 1.18 for Jwaaya FC, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Al Nejmeh

Jwaaya FC

2026-08-01T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Ahed · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Ansar · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-24T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Nejmeh · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Ahed · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-16T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Ansar · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-07-24T18:30:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 2-1 Jwaaya FC (Premier League)
2026-07-12T18:00:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 0-0 Jwaaya FC (Premier League)
2026-06-16T18:30:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 1-2 Jwaaya FC (Premier League)
2026-05-12T18:00:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 1-1 Jwaaya FC (Premier League)
2026-02-11T14:00:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 1-1 Jwaaya FC (Cup)
2025-11-08T14:15:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 0-1 Jwaaya FC (Premier League)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.