· Analysis updated 01:54 UTC
Al Nejmeh vs Jwaaya FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.32 expected goals for Al Nejmeh and 0.67 for Jwaaya FC, a combined total of 1.99. That distribution gives Al Nejmeh the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws roughly 48% of the time.
Model pick
Al Nejmeh to Win
52.4% probability
Expected goals
1.32 – 0.67
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–018.1%
- 0–013.7%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–011.9%
- 0–19.2%
Why the model likes this
Jwaaya FC away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 6 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Nejmeh to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 29% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.32 goals for Al Nejmeh and 0.67 for Jwaaya FC, a combined 1.99 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Recent form
Al Nejmeh
Jwaaya FC
- 2026-08-01T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Ahed · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Ansar · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-24T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Nejmeh · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Ahed · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-16T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Ansar · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-24T18:30:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 2-1 Jwaaya FC (Premier League)
- 2026-07-12T18:00:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 0-0 Jwaaya FC (Premier League)
- 2026-06-16T18:30:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 1-2 Jwaaya FC (Premier League)
- 2026-05-12T18:00:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 1-1 Jwaaya FC (Premier League)
- 2026-02-11T14:00:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 1-1 Jwaaya FC (Cup)
- 2025-11-08T14:15:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 0-1 Jwaaya FC (Premier League)
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ansar | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 44 | 53 |
| 2 | Al Nejmeh | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 46 |
| 3 | Al Ahed | 21 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 40 |
| 4 | Jwaaya FC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 38 |
| 5 | Safa | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 36 |
| 6 | Al Hikma | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 30 |
| 7 | Shabab Al Sahel | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | Al Mabarrah | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -24 | 22 |
| 9 | Reyady Abaseya | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -14 | 20 |
| 10 | Tadamon Sour | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -14 | 17 |
| 11 | Bourj | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 10 |
| 12 | Racing | 21 | 0 | 1 | 20 | -57 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.