Lebanon · Premier League · Championship Round - 418:30

2 – 1

Friday, 24 July 2026

· Analysis updated 16:17 UTC

Al Nejmeh vs Jwaaya FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Al Nejmeh vs Jwaaya FC in the Premier League: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Jwaaya FC away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 6 meetings.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Al Nejmeh to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Al Nejmeh and 1.18 for Jwaaya FC, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Al Nejmeh win44%
Draw26%
Jwaaya FC win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Al Nejmeh

    Jwaaya FC

    • 2026-08-01T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Ahed · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Ansar · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-24T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Nejmeh · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Ahed · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-16T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Ansar · 0-2 (L)

    Head-to-head

    • 2026-07-24T18:30:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 2-1 Jwaaya FC (Premier League)
    • 2026-07-12T18:00:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 0-0 Jwaaya FC (Premier League)
    • 2026-06-16T18:30:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 1-2 Jwaaya FC (Premier League)
    • 2026-05-12T18:00:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 1-1 Jwaaya FC (Premier League)
    • 2026-02-11T14:00:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 1-1 Jwaaya FC (Cup)
    • 2025-11-08T14:15:00.000Z · Al Nejmeh 0-1 Jwaaya FC (Premier League)

    Premier League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Al Nejmeh110023
    2Al Ansar110013
    3Safa110013
    4Tadamon Sour110013
    5Al Ahed000000
    6Tripoli SC000000
    7Al Mabarrah000000
    8Jwaaya FC000000
    9Al Hikma1001-10
    10Reyady Abaseya1001-10
    11Shabab Al Sahel1001-10
    12Al Akhaa Al Ahli1001-20

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.