Romania · Liga I · Regular Season - 415:30

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Monday, 10 August 2026

Stadionul Municipal · Referee Radu Marian Petrescu, Romania · Analysis updated 03:35 UTC

FC Botosani vs Corvinul Hunedoara Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for FC Botosani and 1.15 for Corvinul Hunedoara, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives FC Botosani the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

FC Botosani or Draw

68.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.15

Model version

poisson-market-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FC Botosani win41%
Draw27%
Corvinul Hunedoara win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams to score51%

Correct score

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 0–08.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Corvinul Hunedoara away threat

    Scored in 0 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FC Botosani to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 27% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.35 goals for FC Botosani and 1.15 for Corvinul Hunedoara, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 46% and both teams to score at 51%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Odds comparison

Indicative prices for the main markets.

MarketSelectionOddsBookmaker
Match ResultHome2.2410Bet
Match ResultDraw3.2510Bet
Match ResultAway2.9810Bet
GoalsOver 1.51.3310Bet
GoalsUnder 1.53.1010Bet
GoalsOver 2.52.0010Bet
GoalsUnder 2.51.7510Bet
GoalsOver 3.53.5510Bet
GoalsUnder 3.51.2810Bet
GoalsOver 0.51.0510Bet
GoalsUnder 0.58.5010Bet
BTTSYes1.7310Bet
BTTSNo1.9110Bet
Double ChanceHome/Draw1.3610Bet
Double ChanceHome/Away1.2510Bet
Double ChanceDraw/Away1.6010Bet

Recent form

FC Botosani

    Corvinul Hunedoara

    • 2026-08-10T15:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Botosani · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-07-25T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanta · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-20T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda · 3-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Koper · 0-1 (L)

    Head-to-head

    • 2026-08-10T15:30:00.000Z · FC Botosani 0-0 Corvinul Hunedoara (Liga I)

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.