Romania · Liga I · Regular Season - 415:30

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Monday, 10 August 2026

Stadionul Municipal · Referee Radu Marian Petrescu, Romania · Analysis updated 02:44 UTC

FC Botosani vs Corvinul Hunedoara Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for FC Botosani and 1.04 for Corvinul Hunedoara, a combined total of 2.07. That distribution gives Corvinul Hunedoara the largest share of the 1X2 market at 35%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 35% favourite still loses or draws roughly 65% of the time.

Model pick

Corvinul Hunedoara or Draw

65.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.04

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FC Botosani win35%
Draw30%
Corvinul Hunedoara win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals61%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Both teams to score42%

Correct score

  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–113.1%
  • 1–013.0%
  • 0–012.6%
  • 1–27.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Corvinul Hunedoara away threat

    Scored in 0 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Corvinul Hunedoara to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 35%, against 35% / 30% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.03 goals for FC Botosani and 1.04 for Corvinul Hunedoara, a combined 2.07 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 34% and both teams to score at 42%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Recent form

FC Botosani

    Corvinul Hunedoara

    • 2026-08-10T15:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Botosani · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-07-25T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanta · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-20T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda · 3-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Koper · 0-1 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.