· Analysis updated 04:37 UTC
Skopje vs Struga Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.91 expected goals for Skopje and 1.69 for Struga, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Struga the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 44% of the time.
Model pick
Struga to Win
55.8% probability
Expected goals
0.91 – 1.69
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
44%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–112.6%
- 1–111.4%
- 0–210.6%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–07.4%
Why the model likes this
Skopje home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Struga to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 20% / 24% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.91 goals for Skopje and 1.69 for Struga, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 4.60 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.60 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 1.65 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 1.28 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | 3.35 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.90 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.83 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 3.25 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.30 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | Yes | 1.80 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | 1.83 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 2.10 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.20 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 1.12 | 10Bet |
Recent form
Skopje
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sileks · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Struga · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkendija · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-07-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aresimi · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-31T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Akademija Pandev · 1-0 (W)
Struga
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · Skopje 1-1 Struga (First League)
- 2023-04-09T13:00:00.000Z · Skopje 1-1 Struga (First League)
- 2022-12-11T12:00:00.000Z · Skopje 1-1 Struga (First League)
- 2022-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · Skopje 0-3 Struga (First League)
- 2022-04-10T14:00:00.000Z · Skopje 0-1 Struga (First League)
- 2021-12-08T12:00:00.000Z · Skopje 1-0 Struga (First League)
- 2021-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · Skopje 0-1 Struga (First League)
- 2019-05-18T14:30:00.000Z · Skopje 1-0 Struga (Second League)
- 2019-03-23T13:30:00.000Z · Skopje 0-0 Struga (Second League)
- 2018-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · Skopje 0-1 Struga (Second League)
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.