Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 1.18 for Sabah FA, a combined total of 2.33. That distribution gives Sabah FA the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws roughly 64% of the time.

Model pick

Sabah FA or Draw

64.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hapoel Beer Sheva win35%

Draw28%

Sabah FA win37%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%

Over 2.5 goals41%

Over 3.5 goals21%

Both teams to score47%

Correct score

1–113.2%
0–111.5%
1–011.2%
0–09.8%
1–27.8%

Why the model likes this

Hapoel Beer Sheva home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Sabah FA away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sabah FA to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 35% / 28% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.15 goals for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 1.18 for Sabah FA, a combined 2.33 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Hapoel Beer Sheva

2026-08-15T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Hapoel Haifa · 0-4 (L)
2026-08-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Crvena Zvezda · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-04T17:30:00.000Z · H vs FK Crvena Zvezda · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-29T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Vikingur Reykjavik · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-21T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Vikingur Reykjavik · 1-2 (L)

Sabah FA

2026-08-15T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Kapaz · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-05T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Aarhus · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs KuPS · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs KuPS · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.