Superbet Arena - Giulesti · Analysis updated 20:39 UTC
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 1.18 for Sabah FA, a combined total of 2.33. That distribution gives Sabah FA the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws roughly 64% of the time.
Model pick
Sabah FA or Draw
64.7% probability
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.2%
- 0–111.5%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–09.8%
- 1–27.8%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sabah FA to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 35% / 28% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.15 goals for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 1.18 for Sabah FA, a combined 2.33 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 41% and both teams to score at 47%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Model confidence
Sabah FA or Draw is the headline pick at 65% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Sabah FA
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.