Cepheus Park · Referee R. Obrenovic · Analysis updated 01:55 UTC
Aarhus vs Sabah FA Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Aarhus and 2.20 for Sabah FA, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Sabah FA the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.
Model pick
Sabah FA to Win
49.4% probability
Expected goals
1.70 – 2.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.3%
- 1–17.6%
- 2–27.1%
- 2–16.4%
- 1–36.1%
Why the model likes this
Sabah FA away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sabah FA to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 30% / 20% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.70 goals for Aarhus and 2.20 for Sabah FA, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 73%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
Aarhus
Sabah FA
- 2026-08-15T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Kapaz · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-05T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Aarhus · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs KuPS · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs KuPS · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.