La Liga Predictions & Statistics
Model probabilities, fixtures and standings for the La Liga.
Matches
78
Goals/game
3.09
BTTS
59%
Over 2.5
58%
Home wins
45%
Draws
27%
What the season data says
Completed matches this season average 3.09 goals, and 58% of them have gone over 2.5. Both teams have scored in 59% of matches.
Home sides have won 45% of those matches, 27% finished level and 28% went to the visitors.
Strongest recent form in the table: Barcelona, Real Betis, Atletico Madrid.
Across the 10 upcoming fixtures listed below, the model's leading selection is a home win in 5, a draw in 0 and an away win in 5.
All figures are calculated from this competition's confirmed results and the model's current output for its scheduled fixtures.
Fixtures & predictions
Matchweek 9
16 OCT – 19 OCT10 fixtures in this round. The model favours the home side in 5 matches, projects 3.1 goals per game and sees both teams to score above 50% in 8. Highest-confidence call: Malaga vs Real Sociedad — Real Sociedad or Draw (66%).
Spain · La Liga
10 fixturesModel pick
Deportivo La Coruna win
46%
1X2 46/24/30 · BTTS 58% · O2.5 56%
BTTS 58% · O2.5 56%
Model pick
Atletico Madrid win
50%
1X2 27/23/50 · BTTS 59% · O2.5 58%
BTTS 59% · O2.5 58%
Model pick
Draw/Away
62%
1X2 38/22/39 · BTTS 68% · O2.5 67%
BTTS 68% · O2.5 67%
Model pick
Barcelona win
60%
1X2 21/19/60 · BTTS 70% · O2.5 75%
BTTS 70% · O2.5 75%
Model pick
Athletic Club win
59%
1X2 17/24/59 · BTTS 44% · O2.5 44%
BTTS 44% · O2.5 44%
Model pick
Osasuna win
51%
1X2 51/20/29 · BTTS 73% · O2.5 76%
BTTS 73% · O2.5 76%
Model pick
Celta Vigo win
47%
1X2 47/27/26 · BTTS 46% · O2.5 42%
BTTS 46% · O2.5 42%
Model pick
Draw/Away
66%
1X2 34/25/41 · BTTS 59% · O2.5 55%
BTTS 59% · O2.5 55%
Model pick
Real Madrid win
54%
1X2 54/23/23 · BTTS 56% · O2.5 55%
BTTS 56% · O2.5 55%
Model pick
Getafe win
54%
1X2 54/23/23 · BTTS 56% · O2.5 55%
BTTS 56% · O2.5 55%
Last round results
Matchweek 7
20 SEP1 matches produced 5 goals, with 0 home wins, 0 draws and both teams scoring in 1.
La Liga Standings
Season 2026/27 · Standings data updated: 13 Oct 2026, 16:40 UTC
Primera División
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 7 | 27 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 18 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
Latest results
Spain · La Liga
9 fixturesModel pick
Draw/Away
62%
1X2 38/22/41 · BTTS 71% · O2.5 71%
BTTS 71% · O2.5 71%
Model pick
Home/Draw
66%
1X2 44/22/34 · BTTS 70% · O2.5 71%
BTTS 70% · O2.5 71%
Model pick
Real Betis win
58%
1X2 58/21/21 · BTTS 59% · O2.5 61%
BTTS 59% · O2.5 61%
Model pick
Deportivo La Coruna win
45%
1X2 30/25/45 · BTTS 55% · O2.5 52%
BTTS 55% · O2.5 52%
Model pick
Celta Vigo win
56%
1X2 22/22/56 · BTTS 57% · O2.5 58%
BTTS 57% · O2.5 58%
Model pick
Real Madrid win
60%
1X2 60/19/21 · BTTS 68% · O2.5 72%
BTTS 68% · O2.5 72%
Model pick
Barcelona win
78%
1X2 78/13/9 · BTTS 59% · O2.5 75%
BTTS 59% · O2.5 75%
Model pick
Draw/Away
63%
1X2 37/24/39 · BTTS 61% · O2.5 59%
BTTS 61% · O2.5 59%
Model pick
Espanyol win
46%
1X2 27/27/46 · BTTS 48% · O2.5 43%
BTTS 48% · O2.5 43%