Bundesliga Predictions & Statistics

Model probabilities, fixtures and standings for the Bundesliga.

Matches

Goals/game

3.82

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

78%

Home wins

51%

Draws

20%

What the season data says

Completed matches this season average 3.82 goals, and 78% of them have gone over 2.5. Both teams have scored in 60% of matches.

Home sides have won 51% of those matches, 20% finished level and 29% went to the visitors.

Strongest recent form in the table: SC Freiburg, Borussia Dortmund, Bayern München.

Across the 10 upcoming fixtures listed below, the model's leading selection is a home win in 4, a draw in 0 and an away win in 6.

All figures are calculated from this competition's confirmed results and the model's current output for its scheduled fixtures.

Fixtures & predictions

Matchweek 6

16 OCT – 18 OCT

9 fixtures in this round. The model favours the home side in 3 matches, projects 4.0 goals per game and sees both teams to score above 50% in 9. Highest-confidence call: Bayern München vs RB Leipzig — Bayern München to Win (82%).

Germany · Bundesliga

9 fixtures

Model pick

Draw/Away

62%

1X2 38/20/42 · BTTS 78% · O2.5 80%

BTTS 78% · O2.5 80%

Model pick

Werder Bremen win

56%

1X2 56/22/22 · BTTS 60% · O2.5 61%

BTTS 60% · O2.5 61%

Model pick

FSV Mainz 05 win

62%

1X2 19/19/62 · BTTS 65% · O2.5 71%

BTTS 65% · O2.5 71%

Model pick

VfB Stuttgart win

54%

1X2 26/20/54 · BTTS 70% · O2.5 72%

BTTS 70% · O2.5 72%

Model pick

Borussia Dortmund win

66%

1X2 16/18/66 · BTTS 61% · O2.5 68%

Borussia Dortmund win66%

BTTS 61% · O2.5 68%

Model pick

FC Augsburg win

50%

1X2 31/19/50 · BTTS 77% · O2.5 80%

BTTS 77% · O2.5 80%

Model pick

Bayern München win

82%

1X2 82/11/7 · BTTS 59% · O2.5 79%

Bayern München win82%

BTTS 59% · O2.5 79%

Model pick

Home/Draw

61%

1X2 40/21/39 · BTTS 72% · O2.5 73%

Home/Draw61%

BTTS 72% · O2.5 73%

15:30

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1899 Hoffenheim

LLLLLLLWLL

Model pick

1899 Hoffenheim win

47%

1X2 36/18/47 · BTTS 86% · O2.5 90%

1899 Hoffenheim win47%

BTTS 86% · O2.5 90%

Matchweek 7

23 OCT

1 fixture in this round. The model favours the home side in 1 match, projects 4.5 goals per game and sees both teams to score above 50% in 1. Highest-confidence call: VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — VfB Stuttgart to Win (64%).

Germany · Bundesliga

1 fixtures

18:30

VfB Stuttgart

Borussia Mönchengladbach

WLLWLLLLLL

Model pick

VfB Stuttgart win

64%

1X2 64/17/19 · BTTS 75% · O2.5 82%

VfB Stuttgart win64%

BTTS 75% · O2.5 82%

Last round results

Matchweek 4

20 SEP

1 matches produced 4 goals, with 1 home wins, 0 draws and both teams scoring in 1.

Germany · Bundesliga

1 fixtures

SC Paderborn 073

1899 Hoffenheim1

LWLLDLLWLL

Low data

Home/Draw

66%

1X2 42/24/34 · BTTS 63% · O2.5 61%

Competition baseline — awaiting fixture data.

Home/Draw66%

BTTS 63% · O2.5 61%

Bundesliga Standings

Season 2026/27 · Standings data updated: 13 Oct 2026, 17:20 UTC

Bundesliga

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	SC Freiburg	5	4	1	0	14	4	10	13
2	Borussia Dortmund	5	4	1	0	11	4	7	13
3	Bayern München	5	3	2	0	16	4	12	11
4	Bayer Leverkusen	5	3	1	1	14	8	6	10
5	RB Leipzig	5	3	0	2	15	5	10	9
6	FC Augsburg	5	2	2	1	13	8	5	8
7	Werder Bremen	5	2	2	1	10	10	0	8
8	FSV Mainz 05	5	2	1	2	13	10	3	7
9	SV Elversberg	5	2	1	2	8	8	0	7
10	1. FC Köln	5	2	1	2	8	10	-2	7
11	VfB Stuttgart	5	2	0	3	8	9	-1	6
12	Hamburger SV	5	2	0	3	5	15	-10	6
13	FC Schalke 04	5	1	2	2	4	6	-2	5
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	5	1	2	2	9	16	-7	5
15	SC Paderborn 07	5	1	1	3	3	7	-4	4
16	Union Berlin	5	1	1	3	5	17	-12	4
17	1899 Hoffenheim	5	1	0	4	9	13	-4	3
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	5	0	0	5	7	18	-11	0