Serie A Predictions & Statistics
Model probabilities, fixtures and standings for the Serie A.
Matches
60
Goals/game
2.87
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
57%
Home wins
47%
Draws
20%
What the season data says
Completed matches this season average 2.87 goals, and 57% of them have gone over 2.5. Both teams have scored in 60% of matches.
Home sides have won 47% of those matches, 20% finished level and 33% went to the visitors.
Strongest recent form in the table: Inter, Lazio, AS Roma.
Across the 10 upcoming fixtures listed below, the model's leading selection is a home win in 4, a draw in 0 and an away win in 6.
All figures are calculated from this competition's confirmed results and the model's current output for its scheduled fixtures.
Fixtures & predictions
Matchweek 7
16 OCT – 19 OCT10 fixtures in this round. The model favours the home side in 4 matches, projects 2.8 goals per game and sees both teams to score above 50% in 6. Highest-confidence call: Parma vs Torino — Torino or Draw (68%).
Italy · Serie A
10 fixturesModel pick
Frosinone win
48%
1X2 48/23/29 · BTTS 61% · O2.5 60%
BTTS 61% · O2.5 60%
Model pick
Napoli win
64%
1X2 17/20/64 · BTTS 58% · O2.5 63%
BTTS 58% · O2.5 63%
Model pick
Inter win
51%
1X2 25/24/51 · BTTS 55% · O2.5 53%
BTTS 55% · O2.5 53%
Model pick
AS Roma win
66%
1X2 66/20/14 · BTTS 47% · O2.5 52%
BTTS 47% · O2.5 52%
Model pick
Home/Draw
68%
1X2 43/25/32 · BTTS 55% · O2.5 52%
BTTS 55% · O2.5 52%
Model pick
Como win
55%
1X2 22/23/55 · BTTS 56% · O2.5 57%
BTTS 56% · O2.5 57%
Model pick
AC Milan win
65%
1X2 65/21/14 · BTTS 46% · O2.5 51%
BTTS 46% · O2.5 51%
Model pick
Draw/Away
68%
1X2 32/28/40 · BTTS 48% · O2.5 42%
BTTS 48% · O2.5 42%
Model pick
Cagliari win
49%
1X2 26/25/49 · BTTS 54% · O2.5 52%
BTTS 54% · O2.5 52%
Model pick
Draw/Away
68%
1X2 32/27/41 · BTTS 50% · O2.5 44%
BTTS 50% · O2.5 44%
Last round results
Matchweek 6
10 OCT – 12 OCT10 matches produced 27 goals, with 6 home wins, 3 draws and both teams scoring in 7.
Italy · Serie A
10 fixturesModel pick
Draw/Away
65%
1X2 35/22/43 · BTTS 69% · O2.5 69%
BTTS 69% · O2.5 69%
Model pick
Inter win
67%
1X2 67/17/16 · BTTS 65% · O2.5 73%
BTTS 65% · O2.5 73%
Model pick
Frosinone win
51%
1X2 23/26/51 · BTTS 47% · O2.5 44%
BTTS 47% · O2.5 44%
Model pick
AS Roma win
55%
1X2 24/22/55 · BTTS 62% · O2.5 63%
BTTS 62% · O2.5 63%
Model pick
Lazio win
59%
1X2 59/21/20 · BTTS 59% · O2.5 62%
BTTS 59% · O2.5 62%
Model pick
Bologna win
46%
1X2 29/25/46 · BTTS 54% · O2.5 51%
BTTS 54% · O2.5 51%
Model pick
Draw/Away
65%
1X2 36/23/42 · BTTS 66% · O2.5 65%
BTTS 66% · O2.5 65%
Model pick
Draw/Away
67%
1X2 33/31/36 · BTTS 39% · O2.5 31%
BTTS 39% · O2.5 31%
Model pick
Atalanta win
56%
1X2 56/23/21 · BTTS 55% · O2.5 55%
BTTS 55% · O2.5 55%
Model pick
Draw/Away
65%
1X2 35/21/44 · BTTS 73% · O2.5 74%
BTTS 73% · O2.5 74%
Serie A Standings
Season 2026/27 · Standings data updated: 13 Oct 2026, 17:14 UTC
Serie A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 14 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 0 |