Football Predictions Today – Friday, 6 November 2026
FootballPredictions.bet turns team scoring data into expected goals and a Poisson probability distribution for every fixture, so each match gets 1X2, BTTS, goals and correct-score forecasts alongside form, head-to-head records and league statistics — not a one-line tip.
Read how the model works or check our published prediction accuracy and the full results log.
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Scores refresh from our cached data layer while matches are in play.
Model pick
Home/Draw
72%
1X2 40/32/28 · BTTS 37% · O2.5 29%
BTTS 37% · O2.5 29%
Model pick
Draw/Away
69%
1X2 32/29/39 · BTTS 43% · O2.5 36%
BTTS 43% · O2.5 36%
Model pick
Velez Sarsfield win
45%
1X2 30/25/45 · BTTS 55% · O2.5 52%
BTTS 55% · O2.5 52%
Model pick
Draw/Away
70%
1X2 31/27/43 · BTTS 49% · O2.5 44%
BTTS 49% · O2.5 44%
Today's fixtures and predictions
Grouped by country and competition, with model probabilities on every fixture.
Data source: API-Football · updated 0 sec ago
Brazil · Serie A
2 fixturesArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina
4 fixturesModel pick
Home/Draw
71%
1X2 44/28/29 · BTTS 47% · O2.5 42%
BTTS 47% · O2.5 42%
Model pick
Home/Draw
72%
1X2 40/32/28 · BTTS 37% · O2.5 29%
BTTS 37% · O2.5 29%
Model pick
Draw/Away
69%
1X2 32/29/39 · BTTS 43% · O2.5 36%
BTTS 43% · O2.5 36%
Model pick
Velez Sarsfield win
45%
1X2 30/25/45 · BTTS 55% · O2.5 52%
BTTS 55% · O2.5 52%
Netherlands · Eredivisie
1 fixturesGermany · Bundesliga
1 fixturesItaly · Serie A
1 fixturesFrance · Ligue 1
1 fixturesEngland · Premier League
1 fixturesSpain · La Liga
1 fixturesEngland · Championship
1 fixturesPortugal · Primeira Liga
1 fixturesTop model predictions today
Fixtures where the model's leading selection clears 60% probability and both teams have at least three completed matches in our dataset.
Liga Profesional Argentina
Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra
Independiente or Draw 72%
Projected score 1–0 · BTTS 37% · O2.5 29%
Liga Profesional Argentina
Barracas Central vs Racing Club
Barracas Central or Draw 71%
Projected score 1–1 · BTTS 47% · O2.5 42%
Primeira Liga
Famalicao vs Arouca
Arouca or Draw 70%
Projected score 1–1 · BTTS 49% · O2.5 44%
Liga Profesional Argentina
San Lorenzo vs Platense
Platense or Draw 69%
Projected score 0–1 · BTTS 43% · O2.5 36%
Premier League
Everton vs Coventry
Everton or Draw 68%
Projected score 1–1 · BTTS 49% · O2.5 43%
Serie A
Vitoria vs Fluminense
Vitoria or Draw 67%
Projected score 1–1 · BTTS 53% · O2.5 49%
Popular prediction markets
How our predictions work
Three steps, the same for every fixture on this site.
1. Expected goals
Each team's scoring and conceding rates are adjusted for the opponent and home advantage to give an expected goals figure for this fixture.
2. Probability distribution
A Poisson distribution turns those two numbers into the chance of every scoreline, which becomes the 1X2, BTTS, goals-line and correct-score probabilities.
3. Published and scored
The pre-match figures are stored before kick-off and checked against the final result, so the accuracy record on this site is the model's own history.
Latest football analysis
Guides explaining the statistics behind the numbers on this site.
How Football Prediction Models Work
A plain-English walkthrough of how a football prediction model turns team data into win, BTTS and goals probabilities, and where its limits lie.
Updated 2026-01-12 · 7 min read
Understanding BTTS Statistics
What both teams to score percentages actually measure, why defensive weakness drives them more than attacking flair, and how to read BTTS trends without being misled.
Updated 2026-01-12 · 6 min read
Reading Over/Under Goals Lines
How goals lines work, why over 2.5 dominates coverage, and how to use projected totals and league goal environments to interpret a goals prediction.
Updated 2026-01-12 · 6 min read
Today's football predictions explained
Every fixture on this page carries a full probability distribution rather than a single tip. Our model converts each team's attacking and defensive output into expected goals for the specific matchup, then uses a Poisson goal distribution to derive the chance of a home win, draw or away win, both teams scoring, each goals line and every plausible scoreline.
Because the outputs are probabilities, they should be read as ranges rather than verdicts. A selection quoted at 62% is expected to be wrong roughly four times in ten. That is normal and is why we publish confidence levels, the model's expected goals and the underlying form data behind each pick instead of a bare prediction.
Markets covered include 1X2, double chance, draw no bet, both teams to score, over/under goals lines and correct score. Fixture pages add head-to-head history, home and away splits, a team-by-team statistical comparison and the current league table, so you can see whether the numbers agree with the narrative.
Predictions regenerate as new results and team data arrive, and each fixture page shows when its analysis was last updated. Live matches switch to the match centre view with in-play scores and a timeline. Predictions are statistical estimates for informational purposes only.