Ligue 1 Predictions & Statistics
Model probabilities, fixtures and standings for the Ligue 1.
Matches
54
Goals/game
2.91
BTTS
61%
Over 2.5
61%
Home wins
46%
Draws
26%
What the season data says
Completed matches this season average 2.91 goals, and 61% of them have gone over 2.5. Both teams have scored in 61% of matches.
Home sides have won 46% of those matches, 26% finished level and 28% went to the visitors.
Strongest recent form in the table: Rennes, Monaco, Lille.
Across the 10 upcoming fixtures listed below, the model's leading selection is a home win in 7, a draw in 0 and an away win in 3.
All figures are calculated from this competition's confirmed results and the model's current output for its scheduled fixtures.
Fixtures & predictions
Matchweek 7
16 OCT – 18 OCT9 fixtures in this round. The model favours the home side in 6 matches, projects 3.0 goals per game and sees both teams to score above 50% in 7. Highest-confidence call: Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 — Lille or Draw (68%).
France · Ligue 1
9 fixturesModel pick
Draw/Away
61%
1X2 39/22/40 · BTTS 71% · O2.5 72%
BTTS 71% · O2.5 72%
Model pick
Home/Draw
62%
1X2 38/24/38 · BTTS 62% · O2.5 60%
BTTS 62% · O2.5 60%
Model pick
Home/Draw
68%
1X2 43/25/32 · BTTS 57% · O2.5 54%
BTTS 57% · O2.5 54%
Model pick
Lens win
53%
1X2 25/22/53 · BTTS 62% · O2.5 63%
BTTS 62% · O2.5 63%
Model pick
Home/Draw
64%
1X2 38/26/36 · BTTS 53% · O2.5 48%
BTTS 53% · O2.5 48%
Model pick
Monaco win
45%
1X2 28/27/45 · BTTS 49% · O2.5 44%
BTTS 49% · O2.5 44%
Model pick
Le Havre win
50%
1X2 50/23/27 · BTTS 62% · O2.5 62%
BTTS 62% · O2.5 62%
Model pick
Paris FC win
57%
1X2 57/23/21 · BTTS 54% · O2.5 55%
BTTS 54% · O2.5 55%
Model pick
Lyon win
64%
1X2 64/21/15 · BTTS 48% · O2.5 53%
BTTS 48% · O2.5 53%
Matchweek 8
23 OCT1 fixture in this round. The model favours the home side in 1 match, projects 3.0 goals per game and sees both teams to score above 50% in 1. Highest-confidence call: Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice — Stade Brestois 29 to Win (56%).
Last round results
Matchweek 5
20 SEP1 matches produced 3 goals, with 0 home wins, 0 draws and both teams scoring in 1.
Ligue 1 Standings
Season 2026/27 · Standings data updated: 13 Oct 2026, 13:13 UTC
Ligue 1
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
Latest results
France · Ligue 1
9 fixturesModel pick
Marseille win
55%
1X2 23/22/55 · BTTS 61% · O2.5 63%
BTTS 61% · O2.5 63%
Model pick
Rennes win
59%
1X2 59/19/22 · BTTS 71% · O2.5 76%
BTTS 71% · O2.5 76%
Model pick
Home/Draw
62%
1X2 39/24/38 · BTTS 63% · O2.5 60%
BTTS 63% · O2.5 60%
Model pick
Draw/Away
63%
1X2 37/23/40 · BTTS 65% · O2.5 64%
BTTS 65% · O2.5 64%
Model pick
Monaco win
54%
1X2 54/23/23 · BTTS 57% · O2.5 57%
BTTS 57% · O2.5 57%
Model pick
Paris FC win
50%
1X2 25/25/50 · BTTS 51% · O2.5 48%
BTTS 51% · O2.5 48%
Model pick
Angers win
48%
1X2 25/27/48 · BTTS 48% · O2.5 44%
BTTS 48% · O2.5 44%
Model pick
Lille win
54%
1X2 54/24/22 · BTTS 53% · O2.5 52%
BTTS 53% · O2.5 52%
Model pick
Draw/Away
69%
1X2 31/25/44 · BTTS 57% · O2.5 54%
BTTS 57% · O2.5 54%