Premier League Predictions & Statistics

Model probabilities, fixtures and standings for the Premier League.

Premier League top scorers & assists →

Matches

Goals/game

2.95

BTTS

55%

Over 2.5

57%

Home wins

38%

Draws

32%

What the season data says

Completed matches this season average 2.95 goals, and 57% of them have gone over 2.5. Both teams have scored in 55% of matches.

Home sides have won 38% of those matches, 32% finished level and 30% went to the visitors.

Strongest recent form in the table: Manchester City, Arsenal, Brighton.

Across the 10 upcoming fixtures listed below, the model's leading selection is a home win in 8, a draw in 0 and an away win in 2.

All figures are calculated from this competition's confirmed results and the model's current output for its scheduled fixtures.

Fixtures & predictions

Matchweek 7

17 OCT – 19 OCT

10 fixtures in this round. The model favours the home side in 8 matches, projects 2.9 goals per game and sees both teams to score above 50% in 7. Highest-confidence call: Tottenham vs Coventry — Tottenham or Draw (73%).

England · Premier League

10 fixtures

Model pick

Everton win

49%

1X2 49/23/28 · BTTS 62% · O2.5 62%

BTTS 62% · O2.5 62%

Model pick

Hull City win

47%

1X2 29/25/47 · BTTS 56% · O2.5 53%

BTTS 56% · O2.5 53%

Model pick

Manchester City win

65%

1X2 65/17/17 · BTTS 67% · O2.5 75%

Manchester City win65%

BTTS 67% · O2.5 75%

Model pick

Brentford win

46%

1X2 46/26/27 · BTTS 50% · O2.5 46%

BTTS 50% · O2.5 46%

Model pick

Newcastle win

51%

1X2 51/22/27 · BTTS 62% · O2.5 63%

BTTS 62% · O2.5 63%

Model pick

Home/Draw

65%

1X2 42/23/35 · BTTS 65% · O2.5 64%

BTTS 65% · O2.5 64%

Model pick

Brighton win

64%

1X2 64/20/17 · BTTS 57% · O2.5 63%

BTTS 57% · O2.5 63%

Model pick

Leeds win

47%

1X2 47/25/28 · BTTS 53% · O2.5 50%

BTTS 53% · O2.5 50%

Model pick

Draw/Away

72%

1X2 28/31/40 · BTTS 38% · O2.5 30%

BTTS 38% · O2.5 30%

Model pick

Home/Draw

73%

1X2 43/30/27 · BTTS 39% · O2.5 32%

Home/Draw73%

BTTS 39% · O2.5 32%

Last round results

Matchweek 6

10 OCT – 12 OCT

10 matches produced 36 goals, with 5 home wins, 3 draws and both teams scoring in 8.

England · Premier League

10 fixtures

Arsenal2

Leeds1

WLWWWLDWDD

Model pick

Arsenal win

45%

1X2 45/28/27 · BTTS 44% · O2.5 38%

BTTS 44% · O2.5 38%

Model pick

Home/Draw

65%

1X2 45/20/35 · BTTS 75% · O2.5 77%

BTTS 75% · O2.5 77%

Model pick

Draw/Away

70%

1X2 30/26/44 · BTTS 51% · O2.5 47%

BTTS 51% · O2.5 47%

Model pick

Brentford win

56%

1X2 20/24/56 · BTTS 49% · O2.5 48%

BTTS 49% · O2.5 48%

Model pick

Brighton win

67%

1X2 16/17/67 · BTTS 64% · O2.5 72%

BTTS 64% · O2.5 72%

Model pick

Manchester United win

57%

1X2 57/23/20 · BTTS 52% · O2.5 52%

Manchester United win57%

BTTS 52% · O2.5 52%

Crystal Palace3

Nottingham Forest1

WDLWLLLWDD

Model pick

Nottingham Forest win

56%

1X2 23/21/56 · BTTS 64% · O2.5 67%

Nottingham Forest win56%

BTTS 64% · O2.5 67%

Hull City2

Everton2

DLDDWDWDDD

Model pick

Home/Draw

67%

1X2 33/35/33 · BTTS 32% · O2.5 23%

BTTS 32% · O2.5 23%

Model pick

Manchester City win

55%

1X2 21/24/55 · BTTS 51% · O2.5 51%

Manchester City win55%

BTTS 51% · O2.5 51%

Coventry4

Newcastle1

WWLLLLWLDW

Model pick

Newcastle win

61%

1X2 18/21/61 · BTTS 57% · O2.5 60%

Newcastle win61%

BTTS 57% · O2.5 60%

Premier League Standings

Season 2026/27 · Standings data updated: 13 Oct 2026, 18:32 UTC

Premier League

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	6	6	0	0	16	5	11	18
2	Arsenal	6	5	0	1	10	5	5	15
3	Brighton	6	4	1	1	18	5	13	13
4	Brentford	6	2	4	0	12	6	6	10
5	Everton	6	2	4	0	8	5	3	10
6	Chelsea	6	3	1	2	15	13	2	10
7	Leeds	6	2	3	1	8	5	3	9
8	Hull City	6	2	3	1	8	6	2	9
9	Liverpool	6	2	3	1	7	7	0	9
10	Ipswich	6	3	0	3	9	12	-3	9
11	Newcastle	6	2	2	2	10	13	-3	8
12	Crystal Palace	6	2	1	3	9	12	-3	7
13	Manchester United	6	1	3	2	9	9	0	6
14	Coventry	6	2	0	4	5	11	-6	6
15	Nottingham Forest	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3	5
16	Aston Villa	6	1	2	3	6	11	-5	5
17	Sunderland	6	1	1	4	6	12	-6	4
18	Bournemouth	6	0	3	3	7	13	-6	3
19	Tottenham	6	0	3	3	3	9	-6	3
20	Fulham	6	0	2	4	6	10	-4	2

Premier League BTTS & Over 2.5 goals stats

Per-team goal-market rates from this season's confirmed results.

Team	P	BTTS	Over 2.5	O2.5 home	O2.5 away	GF/g	GA/g
Chelsea	6	83%	100%	100%	100%	2.5	2.17
Newcastle	6	83%	83%	100%	67%	1.67	2.17
Bournemouth	6	83%	67%	33%	100%	1.17	2.17
Crystal Palace	6	67%	67%	100%	33%	1.5	2
Ipswich	6	67%	67%	67%	67%	1.5	2
Brentford	6	67%	67%	67%	67%	2	1
Fulham	6	67%	50%	67%	33%	1	1.67
Manchester United	6	67%	33%	33%	33%	1.5	1.5
Leeds	6	67%	33%	33%	33%	1.33	0.83
Manchester City	6	50%	67%	67%	67%	2.67	0.83
Aston Villa	6	50%	67%	67%	67%	1	1.83
Hull City	6	50%	50%	33%	67%	1.33	1
Nottingham Forest	6	50%	50%	0%	100%	0.83	1.33
Everton	6	50%	33%	33%	33%	1.33	0.83
Sunderland	6	50%	33%	0%	67%	1	2
Arsenal	6	33%	67%	100%	33%	1.67	0.83
Brighton	6	33%	67%	67%	67%	3	0.83
Liverpool	6	33%	50%	67%	33%	1.17	1.17
Tottenham	6	33%	33%	33%	33%	0.5	1.5
Coventry	6	17%	50%	67%	33%	0.83	1.83

BTTS = both teams scored. Over 2.5 = three or more total goals. Rates cover all completed Premier League matches this season.