Championship Predictions & Statistics

Model probabilities, fixtures and standings for the Championship.

Matches

107

Goals/game

2.83

BTTS

66%

Over 2.5

62%

Home wins

41%

Draws

30%

What the season data says

Completed matches this season average 2.83 goals, and 62% of them have gone over 2.5. Both teams have scored in 66% of matches.

Home sides have won 41% of those matches, 30% finished level and 29% went to the visitors.

Strongest recent form in the table: Stoke City, Middlesbrough, West Ham.

Across the 10 upcoming fixtures listed below, the model's leading selection is a home win in 8, a draw in 0 and an away win in 2.

All figures are calculated from this competition's confirmed results and the model's current output for its scheduled fixtures.

Fixtures & predictions

Matchweek 10

13 OCT – 14 OCT

10 fixtures in this round. The model favours the home side in 8 matches, projects 2.8 goals per game and sees both teams to score above 50% in 7. Highest-confidence call: QPR vs Derby — QPR or Draw (73%).

England · Championship

10 fixtures

Model pick

Wolves win

54%

1X2 54/21/25 · BTTS 66% · O2.5 67%

BTTS 66% · O2.5 67%

Model pick

Cardiff win

51%

1X2 51/26/23 · BTTS 46% · O2.5 42%

BTTS 46% · O2.5 42%

Model pick

Burnley win

52%

1X2 52/24/24 · BTTS 54% · O2.5 52%

BTTS 54% · O2.5 52%

Model pick

Draw/Away

67%

1X2 33/26/40 · BTTS 53% · O2.5 48%

BTTS 53% · O2.5 48%

Model pick

Home/Draw

64%

1X2 41/23/36 · BTTS 65% · O2.5 64%

BTTS 65% · O2.5 64%

Model pick

Draw/Away

69%

1X2 31/29/40 · BTTS 44% · O2.5 37%

BTTS 44% · O2.5 37%

Model pick

Birmingham win

46%

1X2 46/24/30 · BTTS 59% · O2.5 57%

BTTS 59% · O2.5 57%

Model pick

Stoke City win

49%

1X2 49/24/27 · BTTS 58% · O2.5 57%

BTTS 58% · O2.5 57%

Model pick

Home/Draw

61%

1X2 39/22/39 · BTTS 71% · O2.5 71%

BTTS 71% · O2.5 71%

Model pick

Home/Draw

73%

1X2 44/29/27 · BTTS 42% · O2.5 36%

Home/Draw73%

BTTS 42% · O2.5 36%

Last round results

Matchweek 9

10 OCT – 11 OCT

10 matches produced 22 goals, with 5 home wins, 1 draws and both teams scoring in 4.

England · Championship

10 fixtures

West Brom0

Birmingham1

LLDWWWDWLD

Model pick

Home/Draw

68%

1X2 40/28/32 · BTTS 47% · O2.5 40%

BTTS 47% · O2.5 40%

Model pick

Swansea win

51%

1X2 51/23/26 · BTTS 60% · O2.5 60%

BTTS 60% · O2.5 60%

Model pick

Watford win

48%

1X2 48/25/28 · BTTS 56% · O2.5 53%

BTTS 56% · O2.5 53%

Model pick

Draw/Away

63%

1X2 37/22/41 · BTTS 68% · O2.5 67%

BTTS 68% · O2.5 67%

Model pick

Lincoln win

46%

1X2 26/29/46 · BTTS 42% · O2.5 36%

BTTS 42% · O2.5 36%

Model pick

Blackburn win

47%

1X2 47/25/28 · BTTS 55% · O2.5 53%

BTTS 55% · O2.5 53%

Model pick

Draw/Away

68%

1X2 32/23/45 · BTTS 65% · O2.5 64%

BTTS 65% · O2.5 64%

Model pick

Draw/Away

67%

1X2 34/26/41 · BTTS 54% · O2.5 49%

BTTS 54% · O2.5 49%

Model pick

Home/Draw

64%

1X2 42/21/37 · BTTS 73% · O2.5 74%

BTTS 73% · O2.5 74%

Model pick

Southampton win

58%

1X2 58/21/21 · BTTS 58% · O2.5 60%

Southampton win58%

BTTS 58% · O2.5 60%

Championship Standings

Season 2026/27 · Standings data updated: 13 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC

Championship

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	9	6	2	1	15	7	8	20
2	Middlesbrough	9	5	3	1	17	12	5	18
3	West Ham	9	4	4	1	23	12	11	16
4	Stoke City	9	5	1	3	15	13	2	16
5	Wolves	8	4	2	2	15	11	4	14
6	QPR	9	3	5	1	11	8	3	14
7	Birmingham	9	3	5	1	13	11	2	14
8	Millwall	9	4	2	3	16	15	1	14
9	West Brom	9	4	2	3	10	9	1	14
10	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	12	13	-1	14
11	Southampton	9	5	2	2	20	10	10	13
12	Charlton	9	3	4	2	8	11	-3	13
13	Blackburn	9	3	3	3	14	13	1	12
14	Sheffield Utd	9	3	3	3	12	11	1	12
15	Wrexham	9	2	5	2	10	13	-3	11
16	Lincoln	9	3	2	4	7	11	-4	11
17	Bolton	9	3	1	5	12	17	-5	10
18	Norwich	9	3	0	6	17	19	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	8	2	2	4	9	11	-2	8
20	Watford	9	2	2	5	7	14	-7	8
21	Cardiff	9	1	4	4	11	14	-3	7
22	Burnley	9	1	4	4	13	17	-4	7
23	Derby	9	1	3	5	8	15	-7	6
24	Preston	9	1	1	7	8	16	-8	4