Saudi-Arabia · Division 1 · Regular Season - 3016:15

12

Tuesday, 21 April 2026

Abha

Prince Abdul Aziz bin Masaad Stadium · Analysis updated 03:42 UTC

Al Taee vs Abha Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Al Taee and 1.18 for Abha, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Al Taee the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Al Taee or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Al Taee win44%
Draw26%
Abha win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Abha away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Al Taee to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Al Taee and 1.18 for Abha, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Al Taee

    Abha

    • 2026-08-13T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Hazm · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rizespor · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-07-19T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Sharjah FC · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-05-13T14:50:00.000Z · A vs Al-Raed · 1-5 (L)
    • 2026-05-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Al-Adalah · 0-1 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Division 1 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Al Jeel000000
    2Al Zulfi000000
    3Al Bukayriyah000000
    4Al Anwar000000
    5Al Wehda Club000000
    6Al-Adalah000000
    7Al Najma000000
    8Al Jandal000000
    9Al Taee000000
    10Al Okhdood000000
    11Al Orubah000000
    12Al-Raed000000
    13Hajer000000
    14Jeddah Club000000
    15Al Saqer000000
    16Damac000000
    17Al Ula000000
    18Al Jabalain000000

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.