Northern-Ireland · Championship · Promotion Group - 3717:00

02

Saturday, 18 April 2026

· Analysis updated 03:54 UTC

Annagh United vs Limavady United Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Annagh United and 1.18 for Limavady United, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Annagh United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Annagh United or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Annagh United win44%
Draw26%
Limavady United win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Annagh United home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Annagh United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Annagh United and 1.18 for Limavady United, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Annagh United

  • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dundela · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Rathfriland · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Newington Youth · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Ballymena United · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ballymacash Rangers · 5-2 (W)

Limavady United

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Championship table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Ards321047
    2Newington Youth321047
    3Glenavon FC320146
    4H&W Welders320136
    5Newry City AFC3201-16
    6Loughgall312025
    7Moyola Park311104
    8Queen's University311104
    9Institute311104
    10Annagh United3111-14
    11Dundela303003
    12Strabane Athletic3102-23
    13Ballinamallard United3102-23
    14Warrenpoint Town3102-33
    15Armagh City3012-31
    16Rathfriland3003-50

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.