· Analysis updated 04:39 UTC
Atlas U21 vs Queretaro U21 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.94 expected goals for Atlas U21 and 0.86 for Queretaro U21, a combined total of 1.80. That distribution gives Atlas U21 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 27% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws roughly 64% of the time.
Model pick
Atlas U21 or Draw
68.7% probability
Expected goals
0.94 – 0.86
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
67%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–016.5%
- 1–015.5%
- 0–114.2%
- 1–113.4%
- 2–07.3%
Why the model likes this
Queretaro U21 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Atlas U21 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 36% / 33% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.94 goals for Atlas U21 and 0.86 for Queretaro U21, a combined 1.80 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 27% and both teams to score at 35%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.
Recent form
Atlas U21
Queretaro U21
- 2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tigres UANL U21 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-07-26T15:15:00.000Z · A vs Pachuca U21 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Club America U21 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-04-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Puebla U21 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-21T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Cruz Azul U21 · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga MX U21 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Monterrey U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Santos Laguna U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Club America U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Puebla U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Club Leon U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Atlas U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Juarez U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Queretaro U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Pachuca U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Necaxa U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Atlante U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.