Ballkani vs Ferizaj Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.08 expected goals for Ballkani and 0.91 for Ferizaj, a combined total of 2.99. That distribution gives Ballkani the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws roughly 36% of the time.

Model pick

Ballkani to Win

64.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.08 – 0.91

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ballkani win64%

Draw20%

Ferizaj win16%

Double chance 1X

85%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

36%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

2–010.9%
1–010.4%
2–19.9%
1–19.5%
3–07.5%

Why the model likes this

Ballkani home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Ferizaj away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ballkani to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 20% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.08 goals for Ballkani and 0.91 for Ferizaj, a combined 2.99 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Ballkani

2026-07-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians · 3-2 (W)
2026-07-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Bohemians · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs GAP Connah S Quay FC · 3-2 (W)
2026-07-08T17:30:00.000Z · A vs GAP Connah S Quay FC · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-02T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sileks · 0-4 (L)

Ferizaj

2026-05-31T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Llapi · 2-3 (L)
2026-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Drenica Skënderaj · 2-3 (L)
2026-05-21T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukagjini · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Prishtina · 3-3 (D)
2026-05-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Malisheva · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Superliga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Drita	36	20	6	10	15	66
2	Malisheva	36	18	5	13	8	59
3	Ballkani	36	17	7	12	20	58
4	Dukagjini	36	13	12	11	6	51
5	Gjilani	36	14	9	13	-1	51
6	Drenica Skënderaj	36	15	5	16	-9	50
7	Prishtina	36	13	10	13	1	49
8	Llapi	36	13	10	13	-4	49
9	Ferizaj	36	9	9	18	-15	36
10	Prishtina e Re	36	8	7	21	-21	31

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.