Bolton vs NAC Breda Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Bolton and 1.40 for NAC Breda, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives NAC Breda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.

Model pick

NAC Breda or Draw

63.9% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.40

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Bolton win36%

Draw26%

NAC Breda win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Over 3.5 goals30%

Both teams to score56%

Correct score

1–112.1%
0–18.9%
1–08.6%
1–28.5%
2–18.2%

Why the model likes this

Bolton home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates NAC Breda to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 36% / 26% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.35 goals for Bolton and 1.40 for NAC Breda, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Bolton

2026-08-15T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Preston · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sheffield Wednesday · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs NAC Breda · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Fleetwood Town · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Everton · 0-0 (D)

NAC Breda

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.