England · League One · Regular Season - 114:00

20

Saturday, 15 August 2026

Valley Parade · Referee T. Harrington · Analysis updated 01:50 UTC

Bradford vs Peterborough Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Bradford and 1.18 for Peterborough, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Bradford the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Bradford or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Bradford win44%
Draw26%
Peterborough win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Peterborough away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bradford to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Bradford and 1.18 for Peterborough, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Bradford

    Peterborough

    • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bradford · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bristol Rovers · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs West Brom · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · A vs York · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Boston United · 0-1 (L)

    Head-to-head

    • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · Bradford 2-0 Peterborough (League One)
    • 2026-02-14T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 2-0 Peterborough (League One)
    • 2025-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · Bradford 1-1 Peterborough (League One)
    • 2019-03-09T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 3-1 Peterborough (League One)
    • 2018-12-11T19:45:00.000Z · Bradford 8-8 Peterborough (FA Cup)
    • 2018-12-01T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 2-2 Peterborough (FA Cup)
    • 2018-11-17T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 1-1 Peterborough (League One)
    • 2017-12-26T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 1-3 Peterborough (League One)
    • 2017-09-09T14:00:00.000Z · Bradford 3-1 Peterborough (League One)
    • 2017-03-04T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 1-0 Peterborough (League One)

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.