Valley Parade · Referee T. Harrington · Analysis updated 01:50 UTC
Bradford vs Peterborough Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Bradford and 1.18 for Peterborough, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Bradford the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Bradford or Draw
69.8% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-baseline-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–07.7%
Why the model likes this
Peterborough away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bradford to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Bradford and 1.18 for Peterborough, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Bradford
Peterborough
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bradford · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bristol Rovers · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs West Brom · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · A vs York · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Boston United · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · Bradford 2-0 Peterborough (League One)
- 2026-02-14T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 2-0 Peterborough (League One)
- 2025-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · Bradford 1-1 Peterborough (League One)
- 2019-03-09T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 3-1 Peterborough (League One)
- 2018-12-11T19:45:00.000Z · Bradford 8-8 Peterborough (FA Cup)
- 2018-12-01T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 2-2 Peterborough (FA Cup)
- 2018-11-17T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 1-1 Peterborough (League One)
- 2017-12-26T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 1-3 Peterborough (League One)
- 2017-09-09T14:00:00.000Z · Bradford 3-1 Peterborough (League One)
- 2017-03-04T15:00:00.000Z · Bradford 1-0 Peterborough (League One)
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.