Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium · Analysis updated 04:31 UTC
Braintree vs Tonbridge Angels Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Braintree and 2.08 for Tonbridge Angels, a combined total of 3.52. That distribution gives Tonbridge Angels the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws roughly 48% of the time.
Model pick
Tonbridge Angels to Win
52.4% probability
Expected goals
1.44 – 2.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
48%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.2%
- 1–18.9%
- 2–26.6%
- 0–26.4%
- 1–36.4%
Why the model likes this
Braintree home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tonbridge Angels to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 27% / 21% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.44 goals for Braintree and 2.08 for Tonbridge Angels, a combined 3.52 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 67%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Braintree
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chesham United · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tonbridge Angels · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Aldershot Town · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-28T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Felixstowe & Walton Utd · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Colchester United U21 · 4-0 (W)
Tonbridge Angels
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
National League - South table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weston-super-Mare | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | AFC Totton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Truro City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Torquay | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Folkestone Invicta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Maidstone Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Billericay Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Dover | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Farnborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Braintree | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Horsham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Chelmsford City | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 | Dorking Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Maidenhead | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Slough Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Farnham Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Chesham United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.