Stadion Stozice · Analysis updated 23:50 UTC
Bravo vs Olimpija Ljubljana Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.95 expected goals for Bravo and 1.02 for Olimpija Ljubljana, a combined total of 1.97. That distribution gives Olimpija Ljubljana the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws roughly 64% of the time.
Model pick
Olimpija Ljubljana or Draw
67.5% probability
Expected goals
0.95 – 1.02
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–114.2%
- 0–013.9%
- 1–113.5%
- 1–013.2%
- 0–27.3%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Olimpija Ljubljana to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 33% / 31% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.95 goals for Bravo and 1.02 for Olimpija Ljubljana, a combined 1.97 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 32% and both teams to score at 39%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Model confidence
Olimpija Ljubljana or Draw is the headline pick at 68% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Bravo
Olimpija Ljubljana
- 2026-08-15T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Maribor · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-08T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Celje · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-02T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Aluminij · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mura · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-18T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Bravo · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. SNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maribor | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Celje | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Nafta | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bravo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Koper | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Radomlje | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | Mura | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 10 | Aluminij | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.