Bulleen Lions vs Port Melbourne Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.58 expected goals for Bulleen Lions and 0.58 for Port Melbourne, a combined total of 3.16. That distribution gives Bulleen Lions the largest share of the 1X2 market at 80%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 80% favourite still loses or draws roughly 20% of the time.

Model pick

Bulleen Lions to Win

80.4% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.58 – 0.58

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Bulleen Lions win80%

Draw13%

Port Melbourne win6%

Double chance 1X

94%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

20%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score41%

Correct score

2–014.2%
3–012.2%
1–011.0%
2–18.2%
4–07.9%

Why the model likes this

Port Melbourne away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bulleen Lions to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 80%, against 80% / 13% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.58 goals for Bulleen Lions and 0.58 for Port Melbourne, a combined 3.16 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 41%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Recent form

Bulleen Lions

Port Melbourne

2026-08-15T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Melbourne Knights · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-01T05:15:00.000Z · A vs Manningham United Blues · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-25T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Northcote City · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-18T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Melbourne Srbija · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-11T04:00:00.000Z · H vs North Sunshine Eagles · 0-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Victoria NPL 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Melbourne Knights	24	16	3	5	27	51
2	Brunswick Juventus FC	24	15	2	7	14	47
3	Northcote City	23	14	4	5	17	46
4	Melbourne Victory II	23	12	4	7	17	40
5	Bulleen Lions	23	11	6	6	14	39
6	Melbourne Srbija	24	11	3	10	3	36
7	Eltham Redbacks FC	24	10	5	9	15	35
8	Brunswick City	24	10	3	11	2	33
9	Manningham United Blues	24	9	3	12	-14	30
10	North Geelong Warriors	24	9	1	14	-18	28
11	Western United II	23	8	1	14	-17	25
12	Langwarrin	23	6	5	12	-13	23
13	North Sunshine Eagles	23	5	5	13	-9	20
14	Port Melbourne	24	4	5	15	-38	17

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.