· Analysis updated 02:45 UTC
Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.97 expected goals for Canuelas and 0.81 for Leandro N. Alem, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives Canuelas the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws roughly 36% of the time.
Model pick
Canuelas to Win
64.5% probability
Expected goals
1.97 – 0.81
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
36%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.2%
- 2–012.0%
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 3–07.9%
Why the model likes this
Canuelas home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Canuelas to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 21% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.97 goals for Canuelas and 0.81 for Leandro N. Alem, a combined 2.78 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 48%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Canuelas
- 2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Estrella Del Sur · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Atletico Atlas · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Yupanqui · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Muñiz · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Leandro N. Alem · 1-0 (W)
Leandro N. Alem
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Primera C table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Estrella Del Sur | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 38 |
| 3 | Berazategui | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Lugano | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | Puerto Nuevo | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 35 |
| 6 | Centro Español | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 34 |
| 7 | Mercedes | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 32 |
| 9 | Juventud Unida | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 29 |
| 10 | Leandro N. Alem | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | -14 | 27 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Argentino Rosario | 23 | 3 | 12 | 8 | -6 | 21 |
| 13 | JJ Urquiza | 23 | 3 | 12 | 8 | -10 | 21 |
| 14 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -17 | 20 |
| 1 | Lujan | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 42 |
| 2 | Canuelas | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 39 |
| 3 | Yupanqui | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 33 |
| 4 | Deportivo Español | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 33 |
| 5 | General Lamadrid | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | -3 | 33 |
| 6 | Sportivo Barracas | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Leones de Rosario | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 29 |
| 9 | Atletico Atlas | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | -2 | 29 |
| 10 | Central Ballester | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -4 | 26 |
| 11 | El Porvenir | 23 | 4 | 14 | 5 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Fénix | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muñiz | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Claypole | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -14 | 22 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.