Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · Regular Season - 2922:00

01

Friday, 7 August 2026

Alfredo Ramos stadium · Analysis updated 02:49 UTC

Comunicaciones vs Villa San Carlos Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.36 expected goals for Comunicaciones and 0.87 for Villa San Carlos, a combined total of 2.24. That distribution gives Comunicaciones the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.

Model pick

Comunicaciones to Win

48.3% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.36 – 0.87

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Comunicaciones win48%
Draw28%
Villa San Carlos win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

52%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals65%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams to score43%

Correct score

  • 1–014.6%
  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–010.7%
  • 2–09.9%
  • 0–19.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Comunicaciones home form

    1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Comunicaciones to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 28% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.36 goals for Comunicaciones and 0.87 for Villa San Carlos, a combined 2.24 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 39% and both teams to score at 43%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Recent form

Comunicaciones

  • 2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs San Martín Burzaco · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-07T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Villa San Carlos · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Liniers · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Pilar · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-18T18:00:00.000Z · A vs UAI Urquiza · 2-0 (W)

Villa San Carlos

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Primera B Metropolitana table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Excursionistas3016862256
    2Talleres Remedios3016861856
    3Deportivo Camioneros30151051755
    4Villa Dalmine30151051755
    5Arsenal Sarandi30141151753
    6Sportivo Italiano30141061452
    7Real Pilar301299245
    8Deportivo Laferrere3011910-342
    9Deportivo Armenio2911810-141
    10Comunicaciones30101010240
    11Argentino de Merlo3010911039
    12Deportivo Merlo3091110-1238
    13San Martín Burzaco308139-237
    14Dock Sud3081210136
    15Argentino Quilmes297139-334
    16Liniers2971111-832
    17Brown DE Adrogue3071013-1231
    18Villa San Carlos2961112-729
    19Flandria307815-1329
    20UAI Urquiza293188-1027
    21Defensores Unidos2951113-1126
    22Ituzaingó3011019-2813

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.