Centre Sportif · Analysis updated 03:46 UTC
Courtételle vs Zug Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for Courtételle and 1.02 for Zug, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Courtételle the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.
Model pick
Courtételle to Win
55.1% probability
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.02
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.0%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.6%
- 0–16.2%
Why the model likes this
Zug away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Courtételle to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 23% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.78 goals for Courtételle and 1.02 for Zug, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Recent form
Courtételle
Zug
- 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Wohlen · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Solothurn · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Schötz · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bassecourt · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Concordia Basel · 2-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Concordia Basel | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Solothurn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Delémont | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | FC Wohlen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Muri-Gümligen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Grasshopper II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Buochs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Muttenz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Black Stars | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Langenthal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Courtételle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Thun II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Schötz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Bassecourt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Münsingen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Zug | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.