Stadionul Comunal Afumati · Analysis updated 05:32 UTC
CS Afumati vs Concordia Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.07 expected goals for CS Afumati and 2.02 for Concordia, a combined total of 3.09. That distribution gives Concordia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws roughly 41% of the time.
Model pick
Concordia to Win
59.2% probability
Expected goals
1.07 – 2.02
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.8%
- 0–29.2%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–36.7%
Why the model likes this
CS Afumati home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Concordia away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Concordia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 20% / 21% / 59% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.07 goals for CS Afumati and 2.02 for Concordia, a combined 3.09 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
CS Afumati
- 2026-08-15T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Chindia Targoviste · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-12T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Dunarea Calarasi · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Metalul Buzău · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-01T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Dinamo București · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-11T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti · 5-4 (W)
Concordia
- 2026-08-15T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloria Bistriţa · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-12T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Bihor Oradea · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea Suceava · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Chindia Targoviste · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slatina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Concordia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | CSM Reşiţa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Metalul Buzău | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Chindia Targoviste | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Gloria Bistriţa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Cetatea Suceava | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Popești-Leordeni | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Metaloglobus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | FC Bacau | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | CS Afumati | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Ştefăneşti | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Dumbrăviţa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Bihor Oradea | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | ASA Targu Mures | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | CSM Satu Mare | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Unirea Slobozia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 21 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | CS Dinamo București | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.