Australia · Western Australia State League 1 · Regular Season - 1607:00

04

Saturday, 11 July 2026

Curtin Stadium · Analysis updated 01:52 UTC

Curtin University vs Floreat Athena Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Curtin University and 1.88 for Floreat Athena, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Floreat Athena the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.

Model pick

Floreat Athena to Win

53.7% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Curtin University win24%
Draw23%
Floreat Athena win54%

Double chance 1X

46%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 1–110.4%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 0–28.3%
  • 2–16.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Floreat Athena away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Floreat Athena to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 24% / 23% / 54% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.18 goals for Curtin University and 1.88 for Floreat Athena, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Curtin University

    Floreat Athena

    • 2026-08-15T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Mandurah City · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-08T06:00:00.000Z · H vs Cockburn City · 7-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-01T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Kingsley Westside · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-25T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Subiaco · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-07-18T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Quinns FC · 2-1 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.