Curtin Stadium · Analysis updated 01:52 UTC
Curtin University vs Floreat Athena Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Curtin University and 1.88 for Floreat Athena, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Floreat Athena the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.
Model pick
Floreat Athena to Win
53.7% probability
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.88
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
46%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.4%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–18.9%
- 0–28.3%
- 2–16.1%
Why the model likes this
Floreat Athena away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Floreat Athena to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 24% / 23% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.18 goals for Curtin University and 1.88 for Floreat Athena, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Curtin University
Floreat Athena
- 2026-08-15T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Mandurah City · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T06:00:00.000Z · H vs Cockburn City · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Kingsley Westside · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Subiaco · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Quinns FC · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.