Defensores W vs UNSAAC W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Defensores W and 1.18 for UNSAAC W, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Defensores W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Defensores W or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Defensores W win44%

Draw26%

UNSAAC W win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Defensores W home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Defensores W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Defensores W and 1.18 for UNSAAC W, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Defensores W

2026-08-14T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Yanapuma W · 2-3 (L)
2026-08-10T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FBC Melgar W · 0-8 (L)
2026-08-06T20:15:00.000Z · H vs Sporting Cristal W · 2-4 (L)
2026-08-02T20:15:00.000Z · A vs Alianza Lima W · 0-10 (L)
2026-07-25T20:15:00.000Z · H vs UNSAAC W · 1-0 (W)

UNSAAC W

Head-to-head

2026-07-25T20:15:00.000Z · Defensores W 1-0 UNSAAC W (Liga Women)
2026-03-15T18:15:00.000Z · Defensores W 1-1 UNSAAC W (Liga Women)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.