Dekani vs Krka Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Dekani and 1.18 for Krka, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Dekani the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Dekani or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Dekani win44%

Draw26%

Krka win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Dekani home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dekani to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Dekani and 1.18 for Krka, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Dekani

2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Primorje · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Ljubljana · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-16T18:00:00.000Z · A vs HNK Rijeka · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-08T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Bihor Oradea · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Arges Pitesti · 0-4 (L)

Krka

Head-to-head

2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · Dekani 4-3 Krka (2. SNL)
2025-11-14T14:30:00.000Z · Dekani 0-1 Krka (2. SNL)
2025-03-08T15:00:00.000Z · Dekani 1-2 Krka (2. SNL)
2024-08-24T15:00:00.000Z · Dekani 1-3 Krka (2. SNL)
2024-02-23T15:00:00.000Z · Dekani 1-1 Krka (Friendlies Clubs)
2023-11-11T13:00:00.000Z · Dekani 3-2 Krka (2. SNL)
2023-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · Dekani 1-0 Krka (2. SNL)
2023-03-26T13:00:00.000Z · Dekani 1-1 Krka (2. SNL)
2022-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · Dekani 0-1 Krka (2. SNL)
2022-04-24T15:00:00.000Z · Dekani 0-0 Krka (2. SNL)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.