Elversberg U19 vs Viktoria Köln U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Elversberg U19 and 1.18 for Viktoria Köln U19, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Elversberg U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Elversberg U19 or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Elversberg U19 win44%

Draw26%

Viktoria Köln U19 win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Elversberg U19 home form
0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Viktoria Köln U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Elversberg U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Elversberg U19 and 1.18 for Viktoria Köln U19, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Elversberg U19

2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 0-2 (L)
2026-05-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 0-2 (L)
2026-05-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 3-7 (L)
2026-05-03T09:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Pirmasens U19 · 1-3 (L)
2026-04-25T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Saarbrücken U19 · 2-2 (D)

Viktoria Köln U19

2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 5-5 (D)
2026-08-01T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Babelsberg U19 · 3-5 (L)
2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Osnabrück U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs RW Oberhausen U19 · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FSV Frankfurt U19 · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2025-11-02T13:00:00.000Z · Elversberg U19 0-2 Viktoria Köln U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2025-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · Elversberg U19 0-4 Viktoria Köln U19 (U19 Bundesliga)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.